Stay Invested During Turbulent Times

Funds with higher equity exposure have greater short-term volatility. However, they also have a higher potential for long-term returns. Hybrid Funds offer some stability by including debt, making them suitable for conservative or short-term investors.

Premise: Selecting the optimal mutual fund during a market downturn requires a strategic approach grounded in long-term financial objectives rather than reacting to short-term market volatility.

Prioritize funds aligned with your risk tolerance, investment horizon, and broader economic trends to ensure resilience and growth potential amidst fluctuating conditions.

Recent stock market activity reflects heightened volatility, with the Sensex declining from its September 2024 peak of 85,836 to a current level below 75,800, representing a contraction of over 12%. This correction underscores shifting investor sentiment and evolving market dynamics.

Equity-oriented mutual fund categories, being highly correlated with market performance, have experienced significant pressure. Consequently, concerned investors are increasingly seeking clarity by posing two key questions.

  • 💥 Which mutual fund should I even invest in during this chaotic market?
  • 💥 Should I just pull out of all my mutual fund investments right now?

Tackling disappointment while investing in equities requires only one virtue: patience like Satyavati. It is essential to acknowledge that equities are intrinsically volatile in the short term, and market fluctuations should not serve as the primary basis for fund selection or investment decisions. Instead, investors should focus on identifying funds that align with their investment horizon and risk tolerance to ensure a strategy tailored to their financial goals.

We are now set to examine various mutual fund categories and analyze their distinct behavioral patterns under varying market conditions.

1. Flexicap Funds: Flexi-cap funds are diversified equity instruments with allocations across companies of varying market capitalizations, often with a bias toward large-cap firms. While they exhibit short-term volatility, these funds are well-suited for investment horizons exceeding five years.

2. Midcap Funds: Mid-cap funds predominantly allocate assets to mid-sized companies, exhibiting higher volatility compared to flexi-cap funds. These funds are best suited for investors with an investment horizon of over seven years.

3. Smallcap Funds: Small-cap funds primarily invest in smaller-sized companies, presenting substantial growth potential accompanied by significantly higher volatility. These funds are appropriate for investors with a long-term horizon exceeding seven years.

4. Aggressive Hybrid Funds: An Aggressive Hybrid Fund allocates 20-35 per cent to fixed income, providing a cushion during downturns. These funds are suitable for conservative investors with a horizon of more than five years.

5. Balanced Advantage Funds: This category of Mutual funds dynamically shifts between equity and debt based on market conditions, offering flexibility and moderate risk.

6. Equity Savings Funds: These funds allocate approximately one-third of their portfolio to equities, making them suitable for flexible medium-term financial goals (3-5 years) or for highly risk-averse investors, such as retirees.

For seasoned investors, pure equity funds, such as flexi-cap funds, serve as a solid foundation. Small-cap and mid-cap funds, while offering the potential for higher returns, are characterized by elevated volatility. These should function as supplementary allocations within a portfolio, which should remain diversified across market capitalizations to achieve effective risk management.

Market downturns, though unsettling, are inherently temporary. Historical trends indicate that markets tend to recover, rewarding disciplined, long-term investors. By adhering to a structured investment approach, anchored in an investor's suitable (agreeable) time horizon, risk tolerance, and strategic asset allocation, an investor can navigate periods of volatility with confidence and work toward sustainable wealth creation. Remaining invested, exercising discipline, and embracing patience are pivotal to achieving financial success.

Jishnu Chatterjee,
January, 2025.

Author is a Jack-of-All trades. He believes that specialization is for insects. Author is a public servant, a Linux evangelist, chess enthusiast and a long-term investor. 

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